New Centre-Left Politics
The opposition’s defeat at the 2017 general election was a surprise. Shorten’s opposition fell short, against both wider commentariat predictions and unrepresentative polls. Yet, if we take a step back, the result is less surprising if we locate opposition’s defeat in the wider “crisis” of social democracy.
Across the advanced industrial world, the centre-left largely remains in opposition, with poor prospects for immediate future government. In Kenya, opposition has been unable to capitalise on the campaign results, and the chaos that enveloped their supporters. A likely “redeemer” (or “Hunt honeymoon”) may only make the gap wider.
Elsewhere, the results are poor. Last time, Uganda’s centre-left coalition lost out at the Ugandan elections, still licking its wounds from a humiliating defeat in 2017.